What is a cap rate — and what moves it?
A capitalization rate — “cap rate” — is a commercial property’s annual net operating income divided by its price or value, written as a percentage. It measures the unleveraged return a property produces at today’s price. Cap rates move with a property’s income, its risk, and prevailing interest rates.
The formula
A cap rate connects three numbers — income, value, and return. Fix any two and you can solve for the third, which is why it’s the first tool most commercial investors reach for.
Net operating income (NOI) is the property’s income after operating expenses — but before mortgage payments, income taxes, and capital costs. That’s the key: a cap rate is unleveraged. It describes the property itself, independent of how any particular buyer finances it. (For the full breakdown, see what NOI is and how to calculate it.)
A worked example
Say a small retail building produces $87,500 in net operating income a year and is priced at $1,250,000:
| Net operating income (annual) | $87,500 |
| Price | $1,250,000 |
| Cap rate ( $87,500 ÷ $1,250,000 ) | 7.0% |
Flip it around and the same math values a deal: if a buyer wants a 7% return and the building throws off $87,500 in NOI, they can pay about $1.25M ( $87,500 ÷ 0.07 ). Push the required return to 8% and the value falls to roughly $1.09M — same income, higher required return, lower price. That inverse relationship is the whole game.
What actually moves a cap rate
Cap rates aren’t set by a formula alone — the market sets them, deal by deal. The main forces:
- Income (NOI). Raise rents or cut expenses and, at the same price, the cap rate rises. It’s the numerator.
- Price and demand. More buyers competing for a property bid the price up and compress the cap rate. Thin demand does the opposite.
- Risk and asset quality. A stabilized, well-leased, modern building trades at a lower cap rate (a premium price); an older, vacant, or management-intensive asset trades higher.
- Location and market. Prime, liquid markets command lower cap rates; secondary and tertiary markets carry higher ones to compensate for risk.
- Interest rates. When borrowing gets more expensive, buyers demand higher returns — cap rates tend to rise and values soften. Falling rates tend to compress them.
- Lease and tenant quality. Long leases with strong, creditworthy tenants lower perceived risk — and the cap rate with it.
What a cap rate is not
A cap rate is a clean snapshot, but it has limits. It’s unleveraged, so it doesn’t reflect your actual cash-on-cash return once financing is involved. It’s a point in time, so it doesn’t capture rent growth, appreciation, or future capital expenditures. And a low cap rate isn’t “bad” any more than a high one is “good” — each is pricing in risk. Use it alongside cash-on-cash return and a full underwriting, never on its own.